I think the writing on the wall is pretty clear here.
1. At least the first 200,000 May production iPhones will be 2.0 FW
2. Phones will still be locked to AT&T here in the US
3. Regionally unlocked abroad where consumers demand such
Historically, it has been relatively easy for Apple to keep a tight seal on new hardware. Heck, it wasn't uncommon for knowledgeable "geeks" to buy a Mackbook when a new model released days later. As Apple's products gain market share, it will become exponentially more difficult to keep testers and suppliers from spilling the beans on new products and software. It's also clear that the FCC has roughly a 5-week turnaround (at least) from the time patents show up on their site to the time those products reach the market. Some companies don't have as efficient of a supply chain as Apple, so many take longer.
With Italian sources claiming a late June release for the 3G iPhone, we should realistically see FCC documents sometime between now and May 21st. While the FCC affords companies the right to have their proprietary data shielded from the public, the majority of new product info will be posted online.
After Ebay'ing my iPhone 2 weeks ago, I can't even stomach surfing the web on my Nokia N95. Other than taking 5mpxl pics and shooting video, I just use it for calls. Man, I miss that 3.5 glossy touch UI! Hurry up with that new iPhone, already.
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